← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 |
| Dender win | 12% | 8.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Dender −1.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Mathias Rasmussen · St. Gilloise |
| 32' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · St. Gilloise |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 78' | 🟨 | Malcolm Viltard · Dender |
| 79' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mohammed Fuseini · St. Gilloise |
| 88' | 🟨 | Thomas Holmes · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 4 |
| 15 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 243.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1757.28 | 1469.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.55 | -25.60 |
| eye test v1 | 1.35 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 55.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 1.26 |