← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Kortrijk win | 21% | 4.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| St Truiden −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 11' | ⚽ (og) | Mark Mampasi · St Truiden |
| 20' | ⚽ | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ryotaro Tsunoda · Kortrijk |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Thierry Ambrose · Kortrijk |
| 70' | ⚽ | Karim Dermane · Kortrijk |
| 75' | ⚽ | Andrés Ferrari · St Truiden |
| 81' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 181.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1502.46 | 1387.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.89 | -1.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -1.04 |
| solidity v1 | -0.81 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.57 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.07 |