← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Charleroi win | 35% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charleroi +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Matte Smets · Genk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 74' | 🟨 | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Mbenza · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 364.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1535.60 | 1717.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.29 | 16.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.70 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 37.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 1.13 |
| solidity v1 | 1.27 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.67 |