← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.14 |
| Gent win | 17% | 6.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Genk −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Atsuki Ito · Gent |
| 27' | 🟨 | Matte Smets · Genk |
| 32' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 78' | 🟨 | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 267.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.61 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1720.63 | 1650.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.71 | 2.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 66.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.80 | 2.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.02 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 25.13 |
| state index | 1.22 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.37 |