← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 39% | 2.71 |
| Charleroi win | 35% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Westerlo +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Luka Vušković · Westerlo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mardochee Nzita · Charleroi |
| 62' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 297.00 | 358.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1500.11 | 1518.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.18 | 12.94 |
| eye test v1 | 1.32 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 69.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 31.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.38 |