← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Beerschot VA win | 21% | 4.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Dender −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 36' | 🟨 | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 36' | 🟥 | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 42' | 🟨 | Joedrick Pupe · Dender |
| 66' | 🟨 | Brian Plat · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Verrips · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days |
| 297.00 |
| 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1474.50 | 1342.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.95 | -8.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.77 | -0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| league points | 32.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | -1.40 | -1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.71 | -1.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 2.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.19 |