← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| St Truiden win | 25% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| St Truiden −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Wolke Janssens · Mechelen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St Truiden |
| 39' | 🟨 | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrés Ferrari · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 478.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.28 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1549.43 | 1499.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.66 | -0.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -0.89 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 2.26 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.58 |