← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 58% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| Mechelen win | 19% | 5.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Mechelen −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 42' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sofiane Boufal · St. Gilloise |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Noah Sadiki · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 230.00 | 473.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 4.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1745.85 | 1532.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.99 | -33.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 52.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | 0.86 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.76 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.18 | 1.74 |