β Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 Β· Sun, Feb 16, 12:30 PM UTC Β· ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Beerschot VA win | 17% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA β1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Gent β1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | β½ | Daishawn Redan Β· Beerschot VA |
| 10' | β½ | Tsuyoshi Watanabe Β· Gent |
| 20' | π¨ | Colin Dagba Β· Beerschot VA |
| 53' | π¨ | Brian Plat Β· Beerschot VA |
| 55' | β½ | Daishawn Redan Β· Beerschot VA |
| 67' | β½ (pen) | Dante Vanzeir Β· Gent |
| 90' | π¨ | Daishawn Redan Β· Beerschot VA |
| 90' | π₯ | Antoine Colassin Β· Beerschot VA |
| 90' | β½ (pen) | Dante Vanzeir Β· Gent |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 46.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1634.38 | 1344.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.06 | -3.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.88 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 44.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 6.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.63 |
| solidity v1 | -0.37 | -1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | β |
| state index | -0.07 | -1.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 2.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.13 |