← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Standard win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Genk +0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Christopher Baah · Genk |
| 46' | 🟨 | Boško Šutalo · Standard |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Sory Bangoura · Genk |
| 78' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mike Penders · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mike Penders · Genk |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mike Penders · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 410.00 | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1500.73 | 1714.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.84 | 37.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 39.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 1.08 |
| solidity v1 | -0.42 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.00 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.86 |