← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 |
| Kortrijk win | 16% | 6.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kortrijk +1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 16' | 🟨 | Mark Mampasi · Kortrijk |
| 34' | ⚽ | Mohammed Fuseini · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 66' | ⚽ | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mouhamed Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jean-Kévin Duverne · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 8.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1387.57 | 1759.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.20 | 13.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.91 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.86 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 1.17 |
| solidity v1 | -0.96 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.97 | 1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 2.34 |