← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Club Brugge win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Jarne Steuckers · Genk |
| 40' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lucas Perrin · Club Brugge |
| 82' | 🟥 | Maxime Delanghe · Club Brugge |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Diakité · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 252.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1707.27 | 1679.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.54 | -22.59 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| league points | 60.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 0.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | -0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 1.04 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 22.92 |
| state index | 1.19 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 1.44 |