← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Dender win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Dender +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jo Coppens · St Truiden |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 51' | 🟨 | Bruno Godeau · St Truiden |
| 52' | ⚽ | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
| 53' | ⚽ | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fabio Ferraro · Dender |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days | 283.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1479.58 | 1498.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.98 | 1.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 29.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | -1.03 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.63 |