← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 43% | 2.38 |
| Gent win | 30% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Gent −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 28' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · Gent |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 46' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Gent |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hugo Gambor · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 464.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.24 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1531.00 | 1656.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.54 | -2.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 31.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | -0.28 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 0.92 |