← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 42% | 2.45 |
| Anderlecht win | 29% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Atsuki Ito · Gent |
| 34' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 34' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 34' | 🟥 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 35' | 🟨 | Stefan Mitrović · Gent |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mathias Delorge · Gent |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 72' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 77' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 77' | 🟥 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lucas Hey |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 4 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 32.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1647.85 | 1661.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.99 | -47.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| league points | 40.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.97 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.22 |