← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 68% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 |
| St Truiden win | 12% | 9.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| St Truiden −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 47' | 🟨 | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 76' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Louis Patris · St Truiden |
| 89' | 🟨 | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Léo Kokubo · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| Franjo Ivanović · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 216.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1757.03 | 1501.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.94 | -4.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.91 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.60 |
| league points | 46.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.95 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.56 |