← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 15% | 7.54 |
| Beerschot VA win | 8% | 15.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −2 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Beerschot VA −2 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.41 |
| Under | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Joris Kayembe · Genk |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hakim Sahabo · Beerschot VA |
| 75' | 🟥 | Welat Cagro · Beerschot VA |
| 87' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brian Plat · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 245.00 | 397.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1705.66 | 1342.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.52 | -8.27 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 57.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.79 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 1.19 | -1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.21 |