← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Dender win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Charleroi −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 14' | 🟨 | Bryan Goncalves · Dender |
| 17' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 40' | 🟥 | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 44' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 45' | 🟥 | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 63' | 🟨 | Aiham Ousou · Charleroi |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 82' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 3 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 337.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1514.91 | 1495.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.01 | -7.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 30.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.03 |