← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Mechelen win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Keisuke Goto · Anderlecht |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 49' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bill Antonio · Mechelen |
| 67' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Ahmed Touba · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 147.00 | 452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 4.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1665.31 | 1558.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.97 | -18.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 38.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 2.99 | 8.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.09 |