← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Beerschot VA win | 14% | 7.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA +1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St. Gilloise +1.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Franjo Ivanović · St. Gilloise |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 33' | 🟥 | Faisal Al-Ghamdi · Beerschot VA |
| 36' | ⚽ | Franjo Ivanović · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | 🟨 | Anan Khalaili · St. Gilloise |
| 65' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 391.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1346.76 | 1760.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.32 | 34.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 15.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.52 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| state index | -1.03 | 1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.54 |