← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 24, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Antwerp win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Anthony Valencia · Antwerp |
| 18' | ⚽ | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 54' | 🟨 | Zineddine Belaid · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rosen Bozhinov · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jaïro Riedewald · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 145.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1499.41 | 1635.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.02 | 10.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.78 |
| league points | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.04 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.06 |