← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 19, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 48% | 1.97 |
| Westerlo win | 26% | 3.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alfie Devine · Westerlo |
| 15' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jordan Bos · Westerlo |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 57' | ⚽ | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
| 59' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Antwerp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tuur Rommens · Westerlo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 10 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| coach days | 202.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1630.97 | 1480.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.20 | -22.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.24 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -1.35 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.29 |