← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.78 |
| Standard win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| St Truiden −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ryoya Ogawa · St Truiden |
| 12' | 🟨 | Daan Dierckx · Standard |
| 27' | 🟨 | Ryoya Ogawa · St Truiden |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Andi Zeqiri · Standard |
| 62' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Karamoko · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sotiris Alexandropoulos · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 140.00 | 384.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1511.78 | 1487.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.48 | 1.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 24.89 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.32 |