← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Kortrijk win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 62' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 64' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 64' | 🟥 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 66' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 70' | 🟨 | Thierry Ambrose · Kortrijk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 49.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1386.82 | 1671.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.17 | -61.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.70 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | -0.89 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.57 |