← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 41% | 2.45 |
| Mechelen win | 32% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 53% | 1.93 |
| Genk +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 15' | ⚽ | Konstantinos Karetsas · Genk |
| 24' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 32' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Mechelen |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nikolas Sattlberger · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 444.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.42 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1566.22 | 1691.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.56 | 22.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 1.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 2.29 |