← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Dender win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Club Brugge +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟥 | David Hrnčár · Dender |
| 28' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Diakité · Club Brugge |
| 75' | 🟨 | Abu Francis · Club Brugge |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kobe Cools · Dender |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days | 262.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1510.05 | 1693.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.58 | 39.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| league points | 29.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -1.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -2.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.36 |