β Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 Β· Fri, Jan 17, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Charleroi win | 29% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent β0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Charleroi β0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Isaac Mbenza Β· Charleroi |
| 36' | π¨ | Archie Brown Β· Gent |
| 53' | π¨ | Ε½an Rogelj Β· Charleroi |
| 72' | β½ | Sven Kums Β· Gent |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 16.00 | 322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1656.87 | 1505.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.37 | -3.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 37.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.13 | β |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.76 |