← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 37% | 2.56 |
| Mechelen win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Mechelen +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 42.00 | 438.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 4.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1687.70 | 1571.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.12 | -22.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| league points | 66.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 0.03 | 17.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 0.59 |
| solidity v1 | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.17 |