← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Kortrijk win | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nacho Ferri · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ilay Camara · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Billal Messaoudi · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 375.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1481.89 | 1392.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.36 | -6.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.74 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| league points | 29.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 15.09 | 15.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.27 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.36 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.65 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.31 |