← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 60% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.12 |
| Dender win | 16% | 6.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Anderlecht −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 21' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 30' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 88' | ⚽ | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joedrick Pupe · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 117.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 240.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1725.29 | 1490.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.77 | 10.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| league points | 35.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.90 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.92 |