← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 57% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.96 |
| Standard win | 18% | 5.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Standard −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
| 59' | 🟨 | Sotiris Alexandropoulos · Standard |
| 79' | 🟨 | Toon Raemaekers · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 421.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 360.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.30 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1575.81 | 1477.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.73 | -7.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 4.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -1.41 |
| solidity v1 | -0.16 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 24.89 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.23 |