← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Kortrijk win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Kortrijk +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 9' | 🟨 | Bram Lagae · Kortrijk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 77' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 25.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| 300.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1401.60 | 1502.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.31 | 15.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.71 |
| solidity v1 | -1.23 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.96 |