← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Standard win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Gent +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Aiden O'Neill · Standard |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marko Bulat · Standard |
| 46' | 🟨 | Franck Surdez · Gent |
| 60' | 🟨 | Léandre Kuavita · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Franck Surdez · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Dean · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davy Roef · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 0 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 356.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| 174.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1484.20 | 1668.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.98 | -8.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.29 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.81 |