← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 41% | 2.32 |
| Mechelen win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Westerlo −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Bas Van den Eynden · Mechelen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 75' | ⚽ | Luka Vušković · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 17 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 233.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| 415.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1498.40 | 1576.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.97 | -34.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 23.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.56 |
| solidity v1 | -1.24 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.12 |