← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Dender win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Dender −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Brecht Dejaegere · Kortrijk |
| 15' | ⚽ | Mohamed Berte · Dender |
| 17' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 41' | 🟨 | Joedrick Pupe · Dender |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 73' | 🟨 | Malcolm Viltard · Dender |
| 86' | 🟨 | Desmond Acquah · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 13.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| 227.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1418.25 | 1485.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.89 | 0.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | -0.92 |
| solidity v1 | -1.55 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.96 |