← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Antwerp win | 34% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Ahmed Touba · Antwerp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 79' | ⚽ | Bas Van den Eynden · Mechelen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anthony Valencia · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 408.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 165.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1576.67 | 1624.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.13 | -42.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 28.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| solidity v1 | -0.05 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.34 |