← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Antwerp win | 22% | 4.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 13' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 40' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 49' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 49' | 🟥 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 59' | 🟨 | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
| 69' | 🟨 | Noah Sadiki · St. Gilloise |
| 69' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 153.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ayrton Costa · Antwerp |
| 75' | 🟨 | Anthony Valencia · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 153.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1711.14 | 1654.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.75 | -8.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.66 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.46 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.34 |