← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 51% | 2.02 |
| St Truiden win | 25% | 4.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Genk +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 32' | 🟨 | Zineddine Belaid · St Truiden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jarne Steuckers · Genk |
| 66' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 73' | 🟨 | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 77' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Léo Kokubo · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 91.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| 183.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1518.32 | 1683.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.41 | 28.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 67.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 87.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 1.58 |
| solidity v1 | -1.53 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 7.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.87 |