← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 66% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.95 |
| Beerschot VA win | 14% | 6.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Beerschot VA −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Omar Fayed · Beerschot VA |
| 21' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 23' | 🟨 | Zinho Vanheusden · Mechelen |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 48' | 🟨 | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
| 71' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 389.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 328.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1610.86 | 1346.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.33 | 32.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 15.70 | 13.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | -0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 1.02 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.07 | 0.95 |