β Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 Β· Sun, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Standard win | 21% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent β0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard β0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ | Tsuyoshi Watanabe Β· Gent |
| 11' | π¨ | Sotiris Alexandropoulos Β· Standard |
| 41' | β½ | Max Dean Β· Gent |
| 51' | β½ | Archie Brown Β· Gent |
| 59' | β½ | Max Dean Β· Gent |
| 89' | β½ | Gilles De Meyer Β· Gent |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 132.00 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| 314.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1710.16 | 1479.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.66 | -2.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.53 |