← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Clerkx
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Club Brugge win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 27' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 72' | ⚽ | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 82' | 🟥 | Ibrahim Diakité · Club Brugge |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxime Delanghe · Club Brugge |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 801.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1622.86 | 1688.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.82 | -9.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 37.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 2.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | 1.39 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 22.92 | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.63 |