← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Mechelen win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · St Truiden |
| 23' | 🟨 | Toon Raemaekers · Mechelen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Andrés Ferrari · St Truiden |
| 74' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | José Marsà · Mechelen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Louis Patris · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Léo Kokubo · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 68.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| 373.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1528.99 | 1621.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.99 | 36.79 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 42.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 2.04 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.15 | 1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.15 | 2.12 |