← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 54% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Antwerp win | 23% | 4.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Antwerp −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Matte Smets · Genk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mujaid Sadick · Genk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ayrton Costa · Antwerp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 155.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| 125.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1680.60 | 1667.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.01 | 16.41 |
| eye test v1 | 1.45 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.73 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 68.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.88 |
| league points | 31.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.21 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.79 | 0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.96 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.44 |