← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 47% | 2.15 |
| Mechelen win | 28% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 33' | 🟨 | Lazare Amani · St. Gilloise |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 46' | 🟨 | José Marsà · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Moris · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kamiel Van de Perre · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 367.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 124.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1621.54 | 1690.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.00 | -35.48 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.70 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 24.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.15 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.01 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | 1.38 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 1.30 |