← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Dender win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Westerlo −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bryan Goncalves · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 184.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| 184.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| elo | 1494.82 | 1497.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.53 | -6.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -13.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.13 |
| solidity v1 | -0.96 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 0.69 |