← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 27, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Club Brugge win | 14% | 7.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Mohammed Fuseini · St. Gilloise |
| 52' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Club Brugge |
| 55' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Kakou · Club Brugge |
| 64' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 73' | 🟨 | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 88' | 🟨 | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 118.00 | 787.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1713.19 | 1581.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.94 | 5.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.43 |
| league points | 16.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.06 | 0.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -1.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.46 |