← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Westerlo win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Westerlo +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Roman Neustädter · Westerlo |
| 21' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 50' | 🟨 | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 52' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 87' | 🟨 | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 20 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 55.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| 178.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1527.73 | 1506.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.76 | -19.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.07 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.63 |