← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Dender win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Dender +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | ⚽ | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Daam Foulon · Dender |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ragnar Oratmangoen · Dender |
| 90' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 178.00 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| 360.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1513.35 | 1605.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.42 | 41.02 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 40.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.85 |
| solidity v1 | -1.04 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.50 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.75 |