← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Allaerts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Kortrijk win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
| 55' | ⚽ | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 354.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 293.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1598.51 | 1422.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.35 | 4.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| league points | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 15.14 | 15.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -1.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.11 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 0.75 |