← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 40% | 2.54 |
| Standard win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Standard +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Aiden O'Neill · Standard |
| 40' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
| 45' | ⚽ | Boško Šutalo · Standard |
| 62' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 81' | 🟨 | Soufiane Benjdida · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oday Dabbagh · Charleroi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Isaac Mbenza · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 293.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| 233.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1465.74 | 1539.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.01 | 5.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 14.21 | 14.91 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | 1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.02 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 2.00 |